The Real Polls Come Out

The talking heads always say, "the race tightens as the election draws near." No it doesn't, but the polls do. This is because the polls for weeks have been lying to demoralize Republicans. Then at the last minute, the produce a real poll in order to retain their reputation.

Not unexpectedly, the Drudge Report now says " ZOGBY: MCCAIN MOVES INTO LEAD 48-47 IN ONE DAY POLLING".

Confession of an Obama Blogger

Reprinted in full..

sarah p Says:
October 27, 2008 at 5:04 am

Ok, I want to clear my conscious a little. Hopefully you could make a blog post to help some fellow clinton supporters out.

I work for a campaign and can’t wait for this week to be over.

I was doing it for a job. I was not a fan of any candidate but over time grew to love HRC.

The internal campaign idea is to twist, distort, humiliate and finally dispirit you.

We pay people and organize people to go to all the online sites and “play the part of a clinton or mccain supporter who just switched our support for obama”

We do this to stifle your motivation and to destroy your confidence.

We did this the whole primary and it worked.

Sprinkle in mass vote confusion and it becomes bewildering. Most people lose patience and just give up on their support of a candidate and decide to just block out tv, news, websites, etc.

This surprisingly has had a huge suppressing movement and vote turnout issues.

Next, we infiltrate all the blogs and all the youtube videos and overwhelm the voting, the comments, etc. All to continue this appearance of overwhelming world support.

People makes posts to the effect that the world has “gone mad”

Thats the intention. To make you feel stressed and crazy and feel like the world is ending.

We have also had quite a hand in skewing many many polls, some we couldn’t control as much as we would have liked. But many we have spoiled over. Just enough to make real clear politics look scarey to a mccain supporter. Its worked, alough the goal was to appear 13-15 points ahead.

see, the results have been working. People tend to support a winner, go with the flow, become “sheeple”

The polls are roughly 3-5 points in favor of Barack. Thats due to our inflation of the polls and pulling in the sheeple.

Our donors, are the same people who finance the MSM. Their interests are tied, Barack then tends to come across as teflon. Nothing sticks. And trust, there were meetings with Fox news. The goal was to blunt them as much as possible. Watch Bill Oreilly he has become much more diplomatic and “fair and balanced” and soft. Its because he wants to retain the #1 spot on cable news and to do that he has to have access to the Obama campaign and we worked hard at stringing him a long and keeping him soft for an interview swap. It worked and now he is anticipating more access. So he is playing it still soft.

This is why nothing sticks.

The operation is massive, the goal is to paint a picture that is that of a winner, regardless of the results.

There is no true inauguration draft or true grant park construction going on. There will be a party, but we are boasting beyond the truth to make it seem like the election is wrapped up.

Our goal is to continue to make you lose your moral. We worked hard at persuasion and paying off and timing and playing the right political numbers to get key republican endorsements to make it seem even more like it was over and the world was coming to an end for you all.

There is a huge staff of people working around the clock, watching every site, blogs, etc. We flood these sites. We have had a goal to overwhelm.

The truth is here. I could go on and on, but you get the picture.

I am saying this because I know HRC was better for the country, and now realize this. I was too late by the time I connected to her. To me Barack was just a cool young dude that seemed like a star. I didn’t know him or his policies, but now I understand more than I care to and I realize his interests are more for him, and the DNC and all working like puppets with dean. I always thought a president wanted the better good for the country. The end result I see is everyone dependent on the government, this means more and more people voting for the DNC. This means the future is forever altered. I don’t see this as america, so I am now supporting John Mccain.

Sarah Palin is a huge threat, and our campaign has feared her like you can’t imagine. If it seems unfair how she has been treated, well its because she has had a team working round the clock to make her look like a fool.

this is a big conspiracy and I am so shocked that its not realized.

We released a little blurb the other day that the Obama campaign was already working on reelection and now putting our efforts towards 2012. This was to make it seem like it was above us to continue caring about 2008. Trust me, its a lie. David is very smart, but its a sticky ugly not very truthful kind of intelligence.

Its not over yet, but I think the machine is working. And its a hill to climb.

I will be quitting my post on nov 5th and my vote will be for John Mccain. Fortunately, my position has been a marketing position and I don’t feel I had any part of anything I would feel guilty for. But I look forward to getting out of this as the negativity and environment upsets me.

I wish you all well, and goodluck.

PS my name is not really sarah. but I am a female and I understand your plight.

"Is Barack Obama really a socialist?"

Couldn't have put it better.

CSM - This "socialism-lite," however, is as specious as is classic socialism. And its insidious nature makes it even more dangerous. Across Europe, this "mild" form of socialism acts as a parasitic ideology that has slowly drained entrepreneurial energy – and freedoms – from its free-market host.
Could it happen in America? Consider the words of longtime Socialist Party of America presidential candidate Norman Thomas: "The American people will never knowingly adopt socialism, but under the name of liberalism, they will adopt every fragment of the socialist program until one day America will be a socialist nation without ever knowing how it happened." In addition to Medicare, Social Security, and other entitlement programs, the gathering political momentum toward single-payer healthcare – which Obama has proclaimed is his ultimate goal – shows the prescience of Thomas's words.

Some Hillary Supporters are Smart

Googling something else, I came across the below from a Hillary supporter, which predicted the Palin pick plus gave her high marker...

Sarah Palin Would Make A Great VP Pick For McCain - June 22, 2008

f McCain is smart, he'll pick Sarah Palin as his VP.

McCain-Palin would be a great ticket.

The article above says insiders will convince McCain he should ignore Palin because she hasn't been in office long, and because Alaska is already guaranteed GOP territory.

That's a colossal mistake.

The Obama ticket can never call anyone inexperienced, because Obama is the least qualified candidate who's ever run for president. It's true.

Palin's been governor of Alaska for 2 years, and already has racked up serious accomplishment that's given her a 90% approval rating (the highest of any governor in the nation).

She's smart, tough, hardworking, and a great mom (5 children, including a son who's joined the military).

The Politico article's also wrong in saying picking Palin won't make Clinton supporters flock to McCain -- it's not as simple as that. Any Clinton supporters who are PUMAs or DeMcCrats or whatever you want to call them, already support McCain on some level, and are just looking for an excuse to jump over and leave the Democrats for good. Any excuse will do for some people. So, having Palin on the ticket -- a woman who is qualified to be president, albeit not THE MOST QUALIFIED PERSON, PERIOD to be president (which is Hillary Clinton) -- is just the excuse some people need to ignore generations of party affiliation and vote Republican for the first time in their lives.

We don't think this would happen with Senator Hutchinson, or Carly Fiorini. There's something different about Governor Palin, though. When you start reading about her, you can't help but like her, even if you don't agree with her 100% of the time.

She's a great governor, a terrific person, and, in our book, the best choice for McCain's VP.

It would also force a serious blunder from Obama -- if McCain picks Palin, our best bet is Obama will feel pressured to pick Claire McCaskill or Kathleen Sebelius as his VP, which would be a disaster. There are two people who PUMAs truly despise, outside of the Dean/Brazile/Pelosi/Reid circle -- and those two are Bill Richardson and Claire McCaskill. Sebelius did a terrible job delivering the Democrats' response to the State of the Union address - but, more than that, any woman but Hillary Clinton would be seen as a major slap in the face to all Clinton supporters. So, how does Obama effectively counter Sarah Palin?

He doesn't.

There's no one he could pick that would match her.

Staying in Droves - The Vaunted Youth Vote

Year after year, we hear about how the "youth vote" will change the race. Young people supposedly inspired by the Democratic candidate will come to the polls in droves. Year after year, it never materializes.

This year, not only has the news media touted the likely turnout, but polling companies have included higher than usual percentages of youth and people with their polling data, leading to large polling leads for Obama. Early reports indicate that they are lagging, once again.

Of course they are. Many don't have a vested interest in the government... they don't pay any taxes or rely heavily on any services. So as much as they might think Obama is cool, they don't like standing in line even more.

ReviewJournal - Analysts have predicted that new voters, young voters and Hispanic voters will turn out in record numbers in this election. But as Nevadans continue to flock to the polls, turnout among those three groups is lagging, at least in the early going.

While turnout statewide was nearly 25 percent through Sunday, it was just 20 percent among Hispanic voters, 14 percent among voters under 30 and 15 percent among those who didn't vote in the last three elections, according to an analysis of state early voting records through Sunday prepared by America Votes, an organization that works to mobilize voters....

Traditionally, older people, whites and people who vote consistently tend to turn out at the highest rates overall, said David Damore, a political scientist at UNLV. But this year, much has been made of the idea that the youth vote, the Hispanic vote and first-time voters would turn out at unprecedented rates, galvanized by a heightened political climate and the candidacy of Democratic nominee Barack Obama.

"I would have expected those numbers to be a little higher," Damore said. "At the same time, the people who come out for early voting may tend to be the tried and true."

Prince Charles imiatates Al Gore

Prince Charles has some time ago decided that the gravy train back to a better public perception runs on "climate change" (climate change is previously known as global warming until the world stopped warming).

Now he says the "climate crisis" is more important than the financial crisis. I think the phrase "extremely out of touch" is a polite way to describe Prince Charles. If he becomes King, I wouldn't be surprised for the British to vote out the monarchy.

Prince Charles says climate the real crisis

TOKYO (AFP) – Prince Charles urged the world Tuesday to fight climate change, saying that while the global credit crunch will be temporary, the effects of the "climate crunch" were irreversible.

The Attacks on Sarah Palin.

The attacks on Sarah Palin have been with such vitriole, not seen since Clarence Thomas. I'm not surprised however.

The Left has marketed conservatives to be rich, greedy, mean, racist, sexist, male, and white. If more minorities or women are allowed to be a prominent conservative, it would destroy that carefully crafted image. So they have to politically destroy everyone that comes onto the national stage in short order.

The Financial Crisis

The S&P 500 is down 42% for the year, and 30% in the last month. We're in the midst of a financial meltdown despite the government's efforts to bailout distressed industires.

We've all heard it started with subprime mortgages. But there hasn't been enough discussion on what ever happen to banking standards? Newspapers have touted "the end of capitalism" and "massive federal takeover of banks." You don't need a massive federal beaucracy. We just need some basic standards... a mininum downpayment, a real job with disposable income. The easy money exacerbated the housing bubble. Sure, money was cheaper, but more people could bid higher on a house. If you were playing a poker game, and tripled everyone's chips, betting would increase dramatically.

We need industry standards when the collapse of an entity will have external negative effects on others. When a bank fails and is bailed out by the government, or the FDIC step in, taxpayers are ultimately penalized.

If we built office buildings out of matchstick and tissue paper, and they collapsed would we be wondering why? We have building code, because the collapse of a building has negative external effects. However, it doesn't unduly constrain building in the country.

So who's to blame? Many people, but we only hear about one.

The government: Ultimately the government has a lot of control over the banks. In an effort to buy votes, governments allowed banks and government sponsored banks, like Fannie Mae, to give out money to whomever. It's a lesson that you can't will things to happen politically without economic consequences.

Banks, Wall Street: Once they were allowed to banks got in. There is a herd mentality in banks. If Bank A is making an outsized profit with subprime mortgages, Bank B will feel the need to get in on the action. The current climate on Wall Street focuses in on the current quarter, not the long term health of the company. Executive are usually paid for the short term as well. If a CEO does well with subprime mortgages for several years, he'll get big bonuses. When that risky investment fails, he may get canned, but he'll keep those bonuses. The taxpayers have to come in a prevent economic collapse. They get to privatize profits and socialize the risk. This was most prevalent at Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac.

People: There were a lot of people trying to cash in on the housing bubble. When you see TV shows like "Flip this House", you know you are in trouble. Of course, this is never discussed, as politicans don't want to attack voters. They'd rather blame scapegoats and fat cats on Wall Street.

Debate Blogging

Okay so it's debate number two:

On the economy: Both have seemed respectable to the average viewer.... Obama is speaking well without a teleprompter. This is bad for McCain.

McCain criticism on Fannie & Freddie is good, but he didn't follow up with it much. However, he hasn't really differentiated him as much as he should.

McCain should mention that the existing tax cuts expire.

McCain is sounding smarter on national security as always, but Obama's got enough talking points at the tip of his tongue to seem credible.


Overall? Dead draw unfortunately. McCain didn't attack and differniate himself enough. Obama didn't implode. A draw benefits the party in front, which is currently Obama.



Final thought: I hate when they talk to the synchophats afterwards.

Can Bernanke Be Quiet?

The doom and gloom from Bernanke makes things worse. When he says “the economic outlook will be weak for a long time” then people are going to sell, horde money, stop spending, etc… and the economy will go in the tank. His comments will just worsen the problem.

Ghetto the Vote

"Get out the Vote" drives have largely revolved around getting people who don't pay attention to politics to vote for the Democratic candidate. Normally party activists will drive around in a big van and entice people with food or goodies and then take them to the poll and tell them to vote for Democratic candidate.

Procedures such as registering to vote earlier than election day and standards to prove residency hamper these types of drives. That's why the Democrats will always oppose any type of voter registration. They don't have enough civic minded people to vote for their candidates so they bribe the homeless.

CLEVELAND - Volunteers supporting Barack Obama picked up hundreds of people at homeless shelters, soup kitchens and drug-rehab centers and drove them to a polling place yesterday on the last day that Ohioans could register and vote on the same day, almost no questions asked.

The huge effort by a pro-Obama group, Vote Today Ohio, takes advantage of a quirk in the state's elections laws that allows people to register and cast ballots at the same time without having to prove residency.

Republicans have argued that the window could lead to widespread voter fraud because officials wouldn't have an opportunity to verify registration information before ballots were cast.

Among the volunteers were Yori Stadlin and Vivian Lehrer of the Upper West Side, who got married last week and decided to spend their honeymoon shepherding voters to the Cuyahoga County Board of Elections.

Early today, Stadlin's van picked up William Woods, 59, at the soup kitchen of the Bishop Cosgrove Center.

"I never voted before," Woods said, because of a felony conviction that previously barred him from the polls. "Without this service, I would have had no way to get here."

Obama makes me scratch my head

Obama thinks Bush should move swiftly to address the financial crisis. Ummm.... what was the bailout, the addresses on TV, etc? The bailout was to restore confidence by buying the troubled assets that were causing a lack of confidence. We can debate the merits of the plan, but you urge Bush to do something when he has been.

ASHEVILLE, North Carolina (Reuters) - Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama on Monday urged the Bush administration to move swiftly to address the financial crisis, saying contagion was spreading.

"Not only are we seeing the stock market go down but there is still a great danger of the credit markets locking up and we've seen that contagion is spreading to all parts of the globe," Obama told reporters in Asheville, where he is preparing for Tuesday's debate against Republican John McCain, his rival in the November 4 election.

"It is very important for (Treasury) Secretary (Henry) Paulson and Federal Reserve Bank Chairman (Ben) Bernanke to move swiftly and try to restore confidence as quickly as possible," Obama said.

NBC's Shameful spin

NBC's coverage of the campaign took a turn to the shameful. In a segment where they discuss the candidates past, they took a rosier view of McCain's time in the prison camp. From the narrator:

"McCain has given graphic accounts of beating and torture in a prison system he's called an extension of the battlefield. Tran Tron Doya (sp?) the former prison director remembers it differently". NBC proceeds to let the prison director would remembers McCain teaching him the word "lamp" but not beating him. NBC could have chosen a fellow POW, but chose not to talk to either of them.

VP Debate of the Century

A live stream of consciousness blog on the debate:

Palin....Why not couple tax about how Barack's spending increases can't be done without taxing the middle class.

Palin... +5 for mentioning the small businesses that make $250,000.

Palin shouldn't be talking about Obama voting for tax breaks for oil companies. It doesn't resonate with the people that may vote for her.

Why hasn't she mentioned that the tax cuts are about to expire and that Obama doesn't need to raise taxes.... he'll just let the existing ones expire.

Palin... stop talking about greed on Wall Street.

Biden.... Bankruptcy courts can rewrite contracts? (My attorney says yes)

Palin.... stay on the oil drilling.

Palin... nooooo not climate change.... a bit of a rambling answer... good point to mention that we produce the cleanest energy and if we don't produce, another country will.

Biden... isn't "funding alternative energy" corporate welfare... obama was against coal and nuclear.

Palin... stay on the drilling and energy. she's doing better here.

Both....capping carbon emissions..... nooooo.... you can't support global warming and cheap gasoline prices.

Biden... doesn't support gay marriage, but everything but. Palin gives a good answer here.

Palin... is getting better with foreign policy. Either she is more comfortable with the topic or she is getting less nervous.

The foreign policy has delved into a rehash of the standing political talking points.

She's good when she talks about what she's done or is doing as governor.

Biden will baby Obama on foriegn policy. "I'll be sitting in the room"

Palin fits in the executive experience.

What's your biggest weakness. It is a job interview! Good for Palin for ignoring the question. Gwen doesn't pick the winner. Biden's biggest weakness is his excessive passion. "I work to hard" "I'm too much of a team player"

Can both of them stop saying "maverick."

Biden picks to rebork Judge Bork.

Both closed pretty well. Palin didn't blow Biden out of the water, but she held her own against a very veteran senator. End result - draw.