Electoral Tie?

The possibility of a tie in the electoral college is small but is a distinct possiblity. Using only the 11 battleground states identified in realclearpolitics (NV, CO, IA, WI, MI, OH, PA, NH, VA, NC, FL), I was easily able to see a very reasonable scenario where a tie happens.

Fyi, if Romney won the same states that Bush did in 2000, then he would have 14 more electoral votes than Bush did. There have been 2 censuses since that election.

Biden-Ryan Debate

I think Biden took debate advice from the fake Chris Matthews in the SNL skit last week.

Matthews: "He forgot the first rule of debating, always be interrupting. When I don't have points to make on my show, I make up for it by screaming at people. That's how you win a debate."

Maddow: "Well, I don't think that's true"

Matthews: "Bah, bah, bah, see debates over I win."

Does It All Comes Down to Ohio?

While I think polls will continue to move in Romney's direction, the below map is my worst case scenario. Little wonder everyone spends so much time in Ohio