2020 Dem Nomination Outlook update

This race is Bernie vs Kamala.

• Bernie: he's the thought leader. Every other candidate has been parroting Bernie, or have been too afraid to challenge his proposals
• Kamala: She's reasonably smart, a little awkward, but she's black and a woman. If she wasn't she'd be polling like Kloubachar.
• Pete: Peak Pete is happening now. He's an elitist who is gay. The writers at the NY Times love him, but the voters won't care.
• Biden: He's done before he starts. He's too afraid to be a centrist, so he's going to parrot Bernie. So why get the dime-store Bernie, when you can have the real deal. Look for a bump when he announces and then a steady decline every day after that.
• Yang: He's a one trick pony with his UBL proposal. That garner's tons of enthusiasm with a few people but not enough on a broad basis.
• Warren: Fed gov't paying student loan debt was her hail mary. She's done.
• Beto: The media found Pete. He's like Beto, but is smarter, doesn't wave his arms, and is gay.
• Booker: He was done at Spartacus.

US Population vs Prison Population

So? In Brazil, criminals go unpunished. In Saudi Arabia, criminals are quickly executed or are subjected to corporal punishment so they don’t actually spend time in prison. In Britian, murderers often only get 5 years in prison. In Japan, there is just a lot less criminals. There is much less crime in Vermont than Chicago, but that doesn’t mean that the higher prison population in Chicago is unjust.

Some of our sentencing policies for drugs usage are overly harsh, and I applaud Trump’s efforts for reform, but you can’t look at broad statistics and declare an injustice.

One of the statistics circulating is that the US has 5% of the world’s population, but 25% of the world’s prison population, implying that there is an inherent injustice. 

My answer:   So? In Brazil, criminals go unpunished. In Saudi Arabia, criminals are quickly executed or are subjected to corporal punishment so they don’t actually spend time in prison. In Britian, murderers often only get 5 years in prison. In Japan, there is just a lot less criminals. There is much less crime in Vermont than Chicago, but that doesn’t mean that the higher prison population in Chicago is unjust.

Some of our sentencing policies for drugs usage are overly harsh, and I applaud Trump’s efforts for reform, but you can’t look at broad statistics and declare an injustice.