On February 18th, Castro "announced" he would permanently retire, in a newspaper article, and the press made a big deal about it. In all of the coverage I saw, not one person even speculated that he could be dead already and his death was being hidden to allow Raul Castro to consolidate power. The guy hasn't been seen in public for about 2 years and not one journalist even speculates a remote possibility that Castro might possibly be dead already. The only other possibility is that he is gone mentally and doesn't even understand his surroundings. Both scenarios make his newspaper articles ridiculous frauds.
I'd say in another 3 months or so, they'll announce that Castro is dead. My guess is August 13th, his birthday. Then they'll make a big specticle of his funeral with round-the-clock coverage.
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