When looking at predictions for election, I think looking at the betting can be better than the polls. Intrade lets people bet on the election. Right now, the odds are 89% that the Republicans take the House. There is a 72% the Republicans will get 48 seats, but only 18% that they will get 51.
Of course, after the election, the media will circle the wagons. The media is already asking Democrats questions like, "how come you could not get your message out?" We've gotten the message. We don't like it.
After the 1994 election, the media talked about "angry white men." This time we will see a similar line of dialogue. Voters will be classified as either irrational, emotional, or impatient. Essentially, all voting was illogical.
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