Moore Predicitions

Now, everyone is a blogger! I will begin the inaugural post with a rant on Michael Moore. Most people have a love/hate relationship with Michael Moore. You either love him or hate him. Personally, I think it’s shameful how he twists and distorts facts and presents it as truth. I might as well start off with a prediction. I predict failure for the Moore movie. It will not necessarily be a financial failure, but one of Moore’s aims is to bring down Bush. I don’t think it will have any impact on the course of the election. Of course, measuring the political result of this prediction will be difficult, although perhaps there will be a poll questioning the movie’s influence would suffice.

Before Bowling for Columbine, many people didn’t know a lot about Michael Moore. A movie was made about gun ownership and enough people saw it. According to Wikipedia, Bowling for Columbine grossed $21,575,207 in the US. Gun ownership is easy to attack, as many people mistakenly believe the media hype that more gun laws = less crime. So there is a lot of sympathy for gun control amongst average Americans. Since that movie and his Oscar win, everyone (who is cares about current events enough to vote), now knows where Michael Moore stands. However, while people are more sympathetic to gun control, many aren’t rabid America-haters and they know this film will be pure slander.

So all the Angry Leftists in America will line up to see the movie and confirm how right they’ve been about Bush. Everyone on the Right will refuse to see the movie. Only few in the middle may watch the movie to see “what all the hype is about.” Of those people, I think only a minority will be swayed as the majority will be sceptical of its vast claims.

While the movie won’t be a financial disaster, it will fail to carry the political impact that Moore is hoping for. Worldwide, the movie will do well, if not better. So, Moore will just be preaching to the choir and laughing all the way to the bank.