Wednesday, November 07, 2012

Real Clear Politics, Intrade, Short Sellers are Big Winners



Returns are still coming in, but it seems like final average polls were more right than wrong, and may have even favored Romney. Intrade and RCP were correct on the electoral college, pending Florida results which still aren't final.

Looks like Obama won by about 2.5% in the national poll, but there are still votes to be counted. Overall, Romney improved on McCain by about 4%.
The stock market (S&P 500) is current down 2.15% this morning (10:30 CST)

I thought crossover votes  would be limited to 6% (vote for Obama, but also vote for Scott Brown), but these were higher, especially if you talk about rape and abortion (26% crossover in Missouri).

Exit polls shows turnout and result were more similar to 2008 than 2004 or 2000.


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